Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies Maigana Alhaji Bakawu

Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies

Author (s)

Maigana Alhaji Bakawu

Abstract

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This paper presents a fuzzy time series methodology for forecasting demographic trends that could serve as a scientific approach toward a feasible and sustainable socio-economic development policies. In the experimental section, empirical analysis of population variation of Yobe State, Nigeria spanning over periods of 1996 – 2020 was carried out. The result revealed that FTS model can be used as an appropriate forecasting tool to predict population variations. It is expected that the findings of this research will benefit the present government’s drive on education among other socio-economic conditions of Yobe State as the government declared a state of emergency in the basic and secondary education in the state on the occasion of its inauguration and swearing-in ceremony on 29th May, 2019.

 Keywords: Development Policies, Forecasting, Fuzzy Time Series, Model, Population Variation.

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Title: Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies
Author: Maigana Alhaji Bakawu
Journal Name: International Journal of Science and Business
Website: ijsab.com
ISSN: ISSN 2520-4750 (Online), ISSN 2521-3040 (Print)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4717839
Media: Online
Volume: 5
Issue: 7
Acceptance Date: 21/04/2021
Date of Publication: 25/04/2021
PDF URL: https://ijsab.com/wp-content/uploads/767.pdf
Free download: Available
Page: 118-126
First Page: 118
Last Page: 126
Paper Type: Research Paper
Current Status: Published

Cite This Article:

Maigana Alhaji Bakawu (2021). Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies. International Journal of Science and Business, 5(7), 118-126. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4717839

Retrieved from https://ijsab.com/wp-content/uploads/767.pdf

 

About Author (s)

Maigana Alhaji Bakawu, Department of Statistics, Mai Idris Alooma Polytechnic Geidam, Nigeria. Email: maiganabk@gmail.com

 

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4717839

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